With so much activity, ranging from MLB and the NHL today, to Game 7 between the NBA Celtics and 76ers on Sunday, sports fans have a lot of sports to choose from. And, sports bets to get down! Over the very long-term, our methods have proven to achieve a 3% to 5% edge against the sportsbooks. Our Members can use our plays as standalone picks or to filter the plays with their own favorite picks or methods.
This weekend, Members who login will see several plays. Sometimes, our readers ask us about Parlays. Now – our individual plays have an edge, so if you Parlay, you would think that you retain an edge. However, there are at least three factors working against parlay bettors.
Firstly, it's a feast or famine deal. Most bets are close to a 50/50 proposition. However, unless you pick heavy favorites, even a 2-way parlay has only about a 25% chance of hitting.
In addition, sports books are not in the business of giving money away. Pricing for parlays helps to reduce the edge that we see in individual games.
Thirdly, some parlays – especially so called "Same-Game-Parlays" are correlated. This means that sports books will reduce the payout for certain parlays – and again shade the pricing against the bettor.
And – don't take our word for it! Various sources show that anywhere from 45% to 67% of sports book profits come from parlays. While we DO sometimes like to take a flyer and combine a few parlays, please use parlays paringly.
Members: please login for our selected plays! And – please drill down to individual sports for plays.