Today is opening day for Major League Baseball (MLB).&nbsp; Just a reminder that the most commonly used sports bet is the moneyline bet – which is based on odds or probabilities. &nbsp;Low scoring sports such as baseball or hockey (or soccer) use moneylines. &nbsp;Higher scoring sports such as basketball or football use point spreads. &nbsp;If you see a game quoted as -120 / +110, remember that this is always based versus 100. &nbsp;<ul><li>That is, if you bet on the favorite, you are betting in the ratio 120 (-120) to win 100. &nbsp; &nbsp;</li><li>If you bet on the underdog, you are betting 100 to win the 110 (+110).</li><li>The difference in payout vs. money bet is the vigorish, vig, or commission&nbsp;</li></ul>Here are some general baseball betting tips:&nbsp;<ul><li>It generally pays to bet on small favorites up to moderate underdogs. We prefer the range between -130 up to +190.&nbsp;</li><li>Large favorites (-150 or worse) are difficult to make money with – unless the team is hugely undervalued. &nbsp;</li><li>If we like a heavy favorite, we consider parlays with other favorites or might take the run line (for instance, the Dodgers minus 1.5 runs). &nbsp;</li><li>Starting pitchers impact game odds tremendously - and for good reason.</li><li>Our regular methods of seeking value apply for MLB, and moneyline sports, in general. &nbsp;Note, however, that the percentages get skewed a bit for heavy favorites and underdogs. &nbsp;</li></ul>Here's a Free Pick for First Day of the MLB season: Take the Royals and “plus” odds (underdog) - with signs of smart money on them. &nbsp;Members: please login for a few additional plays! &nbsp;And please remember to sign up for email alerts! &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

It is Opening Day for MLB!  Some reminders about baseball betting.  Play ball!  

3/30/23: MLB Opening Day! 

As March winds down, March Madness also winds down. &nbsp;BUT – many of us are excited about MLB!!! &nbsp;&nbsp;BASEBALL is back in action the end of this week (March 30th), and our SIC team will be ready to find our Members some value. &nbsp;Today, we have a few plays for our Members in both the NBA and the NHL. &nbsp;Please login to see those plays. &nbsp;ALSO – for those fans who are still into March Madness, here is an article from one of our friends/contacts:&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-march-madness-who-will-win">https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-march-madness-who-will-win</a>&nbsp;Check it out; there are several angles and “quant facts” that this sports analytics dude likes – that are different than what most look at. &nbsp;We like value any way we can find it! &nbsp;

March Madness article + a preview for MLB!  

3/28/23: Getting ready for MLB!  

As our SIC (Sports Investing Club's) team scours the boards, we also like to show our Members what we generally look at. &nbsp;As you know, we like reviewing the Betting Percentages (extremes above or below 30%/70%). &nbsp;This is an indication of contrarian value. &nbsp;We LOVE when some point spread bet has less than 30% on it. &nbsp;We also compare this percentage to the Money Percentage to measure Sharp interest. &nbsp;In the NBA, Members, please login: &nbsp;There is a strong recommended play on an evening game that we are already on. &nbsp;Multiple systems like that game. &nbsp;Some may prefer taking the moneyline (instead of points). &nbsp;&nbsp;It's a little early for the NHL (there is generally less betting interest there - so we like to wait for more data to come in before making play recommendations). &nbsp;But again, we hope members will login to take a look at the data and suggested plays. &nbsp;Note that we generally confirm plays by about 6:00 pm ET (every day - but especially weekdays). &nbsp;Many games start by 7:00 pm ET or a little after. &nbsp;In March Madness, there are many fewer games now that we are down to the Elite Eight over the weekend. &nbsp;Still, there are a lot of great games! &nbsp;We are also PROUD that our College Basketball Value indicator has several teams in the Elite Eight. &nbsp;These teams all showed value for our Members:<ul><li>UConn</li><li>SD State</li><li>Florida Atlantic</li><li>Gonzaga&nbsp;</li></ul>Today (and perhaps even with a long-shot for the championship), we like Florida Atlantic. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

General sports chit-chat; our schedule; and a look at today's board. 

3/25/23: Saturday Sports

Hello Sports Fans! &nbsp;When scouring the board for today's plays, our team was excited about the March Madness Sweet 16 match-ups – as well as games in other sports. &nbsp;As we have said in previous posts, we need to be selective, because beating the spread and sportsbooks AIN'T the easiest thing to do! &nbsp;Because the Sweet 16 is one of the biggest sports stories of the day, we'll highlight a lean our team circled. &nbsp;We lean towards the Under in the Gonzaga - UCLA game. &nbsp;This is just a lean, but we didn't see much value in other college basketball games.We ARE happy to report, that our Members have a few plays in other sports this evening – so please login and check out the NBA &amp; NHL. &nbsp;&nbsp;ALSO – please don't forget to sign-up for email alerts when we post to the blog (or have other important updates). &nbsp; Check out the website and bottom of the Blog page to sign-up. &nbsp;&nbsp;

March Madness arrives at the Sweet 16.  And what else is out there for our Sports Members? 

3/23/23: Sweet 16 +...??

It's Tuesday, so time for another greeting from our SIC Blog! &nbsp;As we have been saying, we will increasingly move to the NHL and NBA as football, and now – March Madness games – start to dwindle. &nbsp;First, some housekeeping. &nbsp;Please note that there is a sign-up to be alerted whenever we post a NEW BLOG Post at the bottom of every blog post, as well as at the bottom of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://blog.sportsinvestingclub.com/">blog home page</a>.Please sign up so we can tell you about blog posts and other important SIC news and updates. &nbsp;&nbsp;In addition, you may know our regular schedule is to post to the Blog on Tuesday, Thursday and one day of over the weekend. &nbsp;&nbsp;And now, our regular mention of a SIC highlight – is a current strong play on the NHL Vancouver - Vegas game. &nbsp;Go with the under! &nbsp;&nbsp;

Please sign up for email alerts when a blog post is made.  AND -- an NHL Free Play.  

3/21/23: Tuesday NHL 

First, some housekeeping. &nbsp;As we continue to improve our Sports Investing Club for our Members - the website and blog will send out automated emails when there is a new Blog Post.&nbsp; Please check your spam folders for an email confirmation (to accept these emails). &nbsp;March Madness!&nbsp; The 2023 version is definitely living up to its name! &nbsp;<ul><li>We DO note that Virginia was near the top of our list in terms of being overrated.</li><li>Our system also had Purdue on the overrated side. &nbsp;</li><li>As Members know, our systems filter the Top 25 teams in terms of value. &nbsp;<ul><li>Please click on the Top 25 link on the left-hand side of the Dashboard. &nbsp;</li><li>This is useful for brackets as well as betting! &nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ul></li></ul>Members: Our models have a strong play on a Total in March Madness today. &nbsp;<ul><li>In addition, the sports marketplace action favors Northwestern in a late game. &nbsp;Thank you for reading! &nbsp;</li></ul>

SIC Housekeeping (Blog emails) and March Madness.  

3/18/23: SIC Housekeeping & The Madness!

Here's an early Thursday edition of our SIC Blog posts… As March Madness fans complete their brackets – we're ALSO focused on what our Members are interested in. &nbsp;Some will still bet ATS (against the spread) - and bet individual games. &nbsp;Others will want to align rooting interests (meaning outright win - not caring about the point spread, matching up with their brackets!). &nbsp;As such, here are some values based on the closer games. &nbsp;We like to parlay some of these slight favorites – and/or – bet the individual games vs. the spread (and may sometimes parlay those games, with point spreads). &nbsp;Here are some teams we like for value and usage in these bets/parlays:&nbsp;<ul><li>WVU</li><li>SD State</li><li>Texas A&amp;M</li></ul>Enjoy the Madness! &nbsp;&nbsp;

March Madness brackets and winning vs. point spreads. 

3/16/23: March Madness Edition

Well, one of the year's sports highlights is here: March Madness! &nbsp;IT IS almost time to get your brackets in! &nbsp;And here are a few places we have been looking to get a leg up on the competition. &nbsp;ALSO – please note that your strategy might be a little different depending on your goals (beating your friends in a small bracket pool versus making a dent in a humongous pool). &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://kenpom.com/">https://kenpom.com/</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankings">https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankings</a>&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/march-madness-2023-upset-seeds/">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/march-madness-2023-upset-seeds/</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament/bracket/expert-picks-and-anaylsis/">https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament/bracket/expert-picks-and-anaylsis/</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://insider.espn.com/insider/tournament/bracket/predictor">https://insider.espn.com/insider/tournament/bracket/predictor</a>Please also read our recent SIC Blog Posts:&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://blog.sportsinvestingclub.com/article/3-11-23-sic-blog-posting-schedule">https://blog.sportsinvestingclub.com/article/3-11-23-sic-blog-posting-schedule</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://blog.sportsinvestingclub.com/article/3-7-23-sic-updates-selectivity-and-plays">https://blog.sportsinvestingclub.com/article/3-7-23-sic-updates-selectivity-and-plays</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

March Madness links!  Good luck and enjoy the Madness!!!

3/14/23: March Madness Bracket Links

By now, our readers know our regular pattern of SIC Blog posts.<ul><li>We will normally post on either Saturday or Sunday – whichever day has more sports action that catches our attention. &nbsp;</li><li>And then, normally on Tuesday or Thursday. &nbsp;</li><li>Today, our website features several plays across the major sports. &nbsp;That is currently:<ul><li>The NBA,</li><li>NHL, and&nbsp;</li><li>College Basketball. &nbsp;</li></ul></li><li>Note that these plays can be on the Sides or Totals. &nbsp;</li><li>Our favorite play today is a play in the NBA Saturday evening. &nbsp;Members: Please check it out! &nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ul>

Some SIC (Sports Investing Club) Housekeeping as we prep for March Madness!  

3/11/23: SIC Blog Posting Schedule

As you get set to fill out your brackets, here are some of our favorite links and tools:&nbsp;KenPom continues to be a leader in College Basketball power ratings. &nbsp;&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://kenpom.com/">https://kenpom.com/</a>&nbsp;In the NCAA ratings, some focus on Quad 1 wins and won-lost record as a good measure of quality wins. &nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankings">https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/basketball-men/d1/ncaa-mens-basketball-net-rankings</a>&nbsp;SIC Members: we have several plays today in all of the major sports! &nbsp;&nbsp;

With March Madness almost here, a quick look at some tools for your brackets.  

3/9/23: March Madness is Almost Here

Here are a few notes:&nbsp;<ul><li>The SIC (Sports Investing Club) believes that we have an edge in the sports marketplace based on various factors.&nbsp;</li><li>Even so – it is difficult to beat the -110 odds ("bet 11 to win 10") or “vig” that sportsbooks collect. &nbsp;<ul><li>Due to the “vig” - you need about a 52% win rate in point spread sports to break even – even if you shop around for the best lines (using at least two sportsbooks). &nbsp;</li><li>The numbers show that our methods average about a 53% to 56% success rate over the long term.&nbsp;</li><li>This recent 2022-23 NFL Season was particularly good for our methods. &nbsp;</li><li>Our Members can use our plays as standalone bets or use our methods to help filter their own betting interests or rooting interests.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ul></li><li>Selectivity - because the sports betting markeplace is so hard to beat, we suggest that Members be selective in their betting. &nbsp;Don't bet too many games (it really IS difficult to consistently beat 52%!). &nbsp;AND – please don't bet a large percentage of your bankroll. &nbsp;</li><li>SIC Update: Our methods stress selectivity!&nbsp; On the other hand, we also realize that our Members don't want systems to sit on the fence all the time!&nbsp; As such, the team at SIC has worked to ensure that SIC will generally give a daily play in every major sport if that sport has at least 4 games. &nbsp;Of course – if the data really shows NO edge – we won't give a play. &nbsp;</li></ul>We will continue to post views on the sports marketplace and Free Bets. &nbsp;However, we will do this less frequently to encourage readers to join our Club – and encourage Members to login to the website. &nbsp;&nbsp;Thank you for supporting your Sports Investing Club! &nbsp;Please check back later - for a potential Free Bet!&nbsp;Evening Update: Our Free Bet is in the NHL - Smart money leans a bit towards the St. Louis Blues in the NHL. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

Selectivity -- and an Update for our Members!  

3/7/23: SIC Updates (Selectivity & Plays) 

Saturday means college sports. &nbsp;And MARCH means March Madness is nearly here. &nbsp;Let's take a look at some of the tools we have for March Madness and College Basketball. &nbsp;<ul><li>The Betting Percentage statistic remains a core statistic. &nbsp;It tells us which way the Public is going. &nbsp;When the Public is 70% or more on one team, it often pays to go contrarian and bet on the team with less than 30% of the bets., &nbsp;When we first started studying this statistic more than 20 years ago, the long-term edge measured about 4% to 6% (meaning you could win at about a 55% rate). &nbsp;As more bettors learned of this edge, the edge has been reduced about 33% – but it remains. &nbsp;Let this contrarian method help to filter your plays!&nbsp;</li><li>The Money Percentage is a more recent tool – and this edge remains steadier. &nbsp;For instance, if, say 25% of the bets are on some seemingly weaker underdog – but the actual Money percent is 50%, we know that larger-sized bets are on this underdog. &nbsp;Sharps (or "Smart Money Syndicates" such as the original “Computer Group” earning long-term money in the sports marketplace) are betting significant dollars relative to the casual sports fan or bettor betting $10 to $50 on a game. &nbsp;Follow the Big Money with Money Percentage for an inherent edge.&nbsp;</li><li>Our SIC (Sports Investing Club) is keen on College Hoops and developed a Valuation Tool for the Top 25 College Basketball Teams. &nbsp;You can sort teams by value -- and use this as an additional filter. &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;</li></ul>One game that satsifies several of these filters is today's TCU-Oklahoma game. &nbsp;Hint: at the time of this writing, a small minority of the bets (less than 20%) of the bets were coming in on Oklahoma. &nbsp;BUT money was almost equally split. &nbsp;Smart money is on OK! &nbsp;Note that there are several games like this in the early set of games. &nbsp;

Prepping for March Madness!  A look at some of the tools available to our Members.  

Mar 4: College Sports Saturday

Today, we'll take a look at Colllege Hoops. &nbsp;Members: Please login because there are Strong Plays that our systems flagged. &nbsp;One game we circled – based on Betting Percentage (on Point Spread) – as well as – Money Percentage – is the Wisconsin-Purdue game. &nbsp;For college basketball, our methods work even better for popular (well-bet) games. &nbsp;There's a lot of activity on this match-up – and the current numbers show less than 40% of bets on Wisky – but a large majority of the money on Wisky. &nbsp;We are going with that smart money! &nbsp;For BB, NOTE that we also have a tool that shows value for top 25 teams. &nbsp;This grabbed us a W in last night's game (Pittsburgh is currently a very overvalued team). &nbsp;&nbsp;

Mar 2: Thursday look at College Hoops

In today's NBA marketplace, there are several plays flagged by our filters and systems. &nbsp;When talking with friends and members, they want to understand a bit more about what we look at. &nbsp;The good thing is that in Point Spread sports, the point spread works in a way that most people undertand. &nbsp;This is as opposed to Moneyline sports (like the NHL and MLB) – where you have to have a sense of probability and odds. &nbsp;SO – in the NBA – we ask our Members to login to their accounts. &nbsp;This evening, there are several games where the Betting Percentages flag potential value. &nbsp;In particular, we highlight the Thunder. &nbsp;About 25% (only 1 in 4!) of bets are on the Thunder. &nbsp;In point spread sports, when the marketplace goes to this type of extreme, there is generally value on the team with 25% of the bets or so. &nbsp;Our members can see other games flagged by our systems. &nbsp;The Thunder ALSO has the benefit of having more than half of the Money (Money %) bet on them. &nbsp;Thus – with only about 25% of the number of bets on them, but more than half of the actual dollars on them – we like the Thunder. &nbsp;Please let us know if this helps; and please send us any questions! &nbsp;Thank you for being a part of the Sports Investing Club! &nbsp;

For point spread sports -- Betting Percentages can really tell a lot!  

Feb 28: Tuesday NBA - Focus on Bet %

March is getting closer! &nbsp;And that means March Madness! &nbsp;Saturday generally means a lot of college sports action – and things are heating up in college hoops as teams position themselves for March Madness and better seeds! &nbsp;Our data helps to weed out the multitude of games. &nbsp;As our &nbsp;readers know, we focus on two KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) – and combine them when appopriate.&nbsp;<ol><li>Betting Percentage: this is a good contrarian indicator; what teams are potentially undervalued (or overvalued) since a large majority of bets are on one team. &nbsp;The data shows that undervalued teams have an edge worth a few percentage points.&nbsp;</li><li>Money Percentage: large betters are generally sharper; and may be an indication of a syndicate or other smart money. &nbsp;It is generally good to tail the sharps. &nbsp;</li><li>Today's data has us circling the Indiana - Purdue game.&nbsp; Check it out and see if you see wht we see! &nbsp;(Sharps on the underdog). &nbsp;</li><li>Members: please login for more plays and data! &nbsp;</li></ol>&nbsp;

Saturday means College Sports -- and we are prepping for March Madness!  

Feb 25: Saturday CBB!

The NBA has returned to action. &nbsp;Let's see what the sports marketplace shows for today's games. &nbsp;Members: please login; you may see plays flagged by late afternoon. &nbsp;In the meantime, one game we have circled that looks like at least a lean. &nbsp;Charlotte has a majority of money on them over the favorite Minnesota Timberwolves – but the bets are close to 50/50.&nbsp; That means sharper money is currently on the underdog Hornets. &nbsp;Members: check that out as game-time gets closer. &nbsp;And please ask us any questions. &nbsp;&nbsp;

A look at the NBA as they return to action!

Feb 24: Friday NBA

The NHL normally has more games on Tuesdays &amp; Thursdays – but with the NBA still on their All-Star Game break, we took a closer look at this evening's NHL slate. &nbsp;Our Members may note that the Arizona Coyotes have some sharp betting on them this evening. &nbsp;This is one of those situations where you are taking a worse team to beat a superior team – but getting odds to make it worthwhile. &nbsp;Members: see how the amount of money bet far exceeds the actual number of bets! &nbsp;Try to get as close to 2-1 odds as you can (+200). &nbsp;And you may want to adjust your bet size. &nbsp;(We normally bet smaller size with longer odds). &nbsp;

A look at the NHL with the NBA on their break.  

Feb 22: NHL Wednesday

… there is some fun as the NBA celebrates their all-stars and various skills challenges. &nbsp;Here at SIC (your SportsInvestingClub.com), we are also looking for profit opportunities. &nbsp;Here are a few games we circled for today – in other sports:&nbsp;<ul><li>NHL Hockey: As we mentioned in an earlier blog post, for low scoring sports like hockey or baseball, the Moneyline ODDS are the key indicator for each game (as opposed to point spreads for basketball or football). &nbsp;<ul><li>&nbsp;The Islanders are showing signs of sharp money on them for Friday evening. &nbsp;</li></ul></li><li>In College Hoops, a similar scan shows sharps on Dartmouth. &nbsp;</li></ul>In both cases, key indicators include the percentage of bets on each team (we prefer a contrarian approach there); and the percentage of money on each side (this indicator can show where the bigger money is placing their bets - so we “tail” this indicator.).&nbsp; &nbsp;Members have access to this data!&nbsp;&nbsp;

A few highlighted games and a description of our indicators. 

Feb 17: NBA All-Star Weekend Means...

Most importantly, please remember Valentine's Day! &nbsp;Secondly: Hopefully, those who follow our BLOG will note that our calls on the Super Bowl were correct. &nbsp; And – the blog has been profitable. &nbsp;This is an indication of what our methods can do for your bottom line. &nbsp;You can still do what you like to do – and use our methods to filter your plays. &nbsp;Or follow our plays. &nbsp;Sadly, football season is now over – but for some of us – it means we can focus on sports with MORE profit opportunities. &nbsp;That is, basketball and hockey have many more games than football. &nbsp;And soon, baseball will be starting up! &nbsp;In college basketball - one of the first things we do is review the Sports Investing Club's Top 25 valuation indicator. &nbsp;Members: Please take a look at that section of the website and you can see that Kansas State is overvalued. &nbsp;We then take a look at the sports marketplace indicators to review contrarian indicators; and YES: we can see that the public is leaning towards Kansas State. &nbsp;As contrarians – we will bet against Ks State this evening! &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

Feb 14: Tuesday College Basketball (Remember V-Day!)

With so much attention on the Super Bowl, the oddsmakers and bettors have taken positions – and the regular sports marketplace figures are tighter than normal. &nbsp;Thus – our regular filters – which are very selective have not triggered. &nbsp;However, due to the very large “handle” (value of dollars bet – as well as – the number of bets) – we can actually see value in the Super Bowl.&nbsp; While the number of bets leans towards the Philadelphia Eagles, larger bets are on the KC Chiefs. &nbsp;This implies that sharp money is on KC. &nbsp;The articles we have been reading from our contacts and good sources (several we know personally) – generally analyze sporting events using different angles.&nbsp;This year's Super Bowl is an exercise of strength of schedule (which favors KC) vs. recent blowout wins (which may overvalue the Eagles). &nbsp;As usual, the edges may only lead to an edge in the 55% range – so please bet with your head! &nbsp;If interested in the Total: this is very tight. &nbsp;The Under is generally the place to be – but we lean to the Over based on the team offenses and defenses. &nbsp;One interesting stat is that while the point spread is just KC+1.5, the numbers show that more than 50% of the games will end with a double-digit margin of victory. &nbsp;We took a flyer on that. &nbsp;Super Bowl articles<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/this-obscure-super-bowl-prop-bet-will-baffle-you/">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/this-obscure-super-bowl-prop-bet-will-baffle-you/</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://betiq.teamrankings.com/articles/super-bowl-picks-predictions-winner-against-spread-chiefs-eagles-57-lvii/?anchor=GameWinner">https://betiq.teamrankings.com/articles/super-bowl-picks-predictions-winner-against-spread-chiefs-eagles-57-lvii/?anchor=GameWinner</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-super-bowl-who-will-win-the">https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-super-bowl-who-will-win-the</a>&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.foxsports.com.au/nfl/superbowl/nfl-2023-super-bowl-lvii-news-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-philadelphia-eagles-lucky-analysis-strength-of-schedule/news-story/bda538b82e33482010d52288e4d8a916">https://www.foxsports.com.au/nfl/superbowl/nfl-2023-super-bowl-lvii-news-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-philadelphia-eagles-lucky-analysis-strength-of-schedule/news-story/bda538b82e33482010d52288e4d8a916</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;

Feb 12: Super Bowl Sunday! 

It's Super Bowl Weekend – but before we get to Super Bowl Sunday – let's take a look at the sports marketplace. &nbsp;Members: Please login, because you will see certain College Basketball filtered plays that are confirmed by our College Basketball Top 25 Value/Overvalued indicator. &nbsp;For instance, you will see that NC State is currently overvalued. &nbsp;Our filters are fairly selective because the lines are very sharp. &nbsp;However, in the NBA, members who review our data will see that there is value on the Chicago Bulls in today's game.&nbsp;AND now – we will start focusing on the Super Bowl.&nbsp; Below is some early reading. &nbsp;By tomorrow mid-day, we'll let you know what we are thinking. &nbsp;BUT note that with all of the attention on the Super Bowl, the lines seem “sharp!”Interesting Super Bowl Links&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/this-obscure-super-bowl-prop-bet-will-baffle-you/">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/this-obscure-super-bowl-prop-bet-will-baffle-you/</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://betiq.teamrankings.com/articles/super-bowl-picks-predictions-winner-against-spread-chiefs-eagles-57-lvii/?anchor=GameWinner">https://betiq.teamrankings.com/articles/super-bowl-picks-predictions-winner-against-spread-chiefs-eagles-57-lvii/?anchor=GameWinner</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-super-bowl-who-will-win-the">https://carltonchin.substack.com/p/2023-super-bowl-who-will-win-the</a>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;

Super Boiwl weekend -- but first, a look at basketball.  

Feb 11: Saturday Hoops & Prepping for Super Bowl Sunday

Sports Fans have been focused on point spread sports for quite a while now. &nbsp;The NFL is winding down. &nbsp;And college football has finished for the season. &nbsp;Basketball is in full swing – with both the NBA and college basketball in the middle of their regular seasons. &nbsp;All of these sports have one main thing in common. &nbsp;These are point spread sports: meaning that to even things up, the sportsbooks and oddsmakers use point spreads to try to even the money take on each side. &nbsp;For instance, at last check, the Eagles are favored by 1.5 points over the Chiefs. &nbsp;Sports that have enough scoring can use point spreads to equalize things. &nbsp;However, certain sports don't have enough scoring to allow point spreads to work well. &nbsp;In these sports – such as MLB and the NHL, the oddsmakers use probabilities or moneylines to equalize things. &nbsp;For instance, a good team like the Los Angeles Dodgers against a weaker team may have posted odds such as -180 / +160. &nbsp;This means that you need to bet in a ratio of 180 to win 100 if you take the favorite. &nbsp;If you bet on the underdog, you bet 100 to win 160. &nbsp;The odds are always keyed off of “100.” &nbsp;You might ask: why is there a difference between the 180 and 160? &nbsp;This is the “vig” or commission that the sportsbooks collect to earn a profit and to help them manage risk.Tuesdays are often a big day for the NHL. &nbsp;Our Members can login and see a play filtered by our systems. &nbsp;&nbsp;And, since you took the time to read this far, we flagged a play. The sports marketplace numbers point to the Islanders over the Kraken. &nbsp;This is based on both contrarian data and evidence of sharps on the Islanders. &nbsp;&nbsp;

A quick lesson on Money Lines - used in MLB, the NHL, and Soccer.  

Feb 7: Tuesday "Take Two" (NHL & MLB)

Greetings fellow sports fans! &nbsp;As we said, we're moving into basketball season! &nbsp;March Madness is coming up – and the NBA is in full swing. &nbsp;Members: please login for a Strong Play in the NBA (evening game). &nbsp;In College basketball, there is currently a Lean for Members who login. &nbsp;AND – separately (also in College Basketball), our Undervalued/Overvalued indicators flag a play on Houston. &nbsp;This play has an additional contrarian lean based on sports marketplace data. &nbsp;You might be surprised that Houston, #3 in the nation – and 21-2 – can be undervalued – but note that Houston beat Temple by just 1 point recently. &nbsp;Today's Houston-Temple game may not be as close. &nbsp;Take Houston and give the 10.5 points. &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;

Feb 5: Sunday Hoops

Although this NBA game is far from over, our Members hopefully got down on the play flagged by our systems. &nbsp;When scanning the NBA page, our Members would have seen this:&nbsp;2/3/23 7:30 PM ESTSuns VS CelticsStrong Play on SunsNo Play on Total&nbsp;For those reading, there is no strong play, but the data shows a lean on the late NBA game – on the Hawks. &nbsp;Please visit our website and blog regularly – for filters on plays – and blog posts! &nbsp;

Feb 3: Friday NBA Look

Just a short post – but a useful example of one way we might use the sports marketplace data. &nbsp;<ul><li>For the KC-Cincy game - on the Total, we show only about 32% of bets on the Under.&nbsp;</li><li>We like the Under as a Contrarian play. &nbsp;</li><li>In addition, the data shows that about 60% of the actual money is on the Under. &nbsp;</li><li>This means that bigger money (that tends to be sharper) is on the Under. &nbsp;</li><li>Thus – there are two angles or systems that lean towards the Under in that game. &nbsp;</li><li>Sometimes plays are not flagged for actual plays because our systems may have stricter filters.&nbsp; It is so difficult to beat the -110 vig (bet 11 to win 10)) that it pays to be selective with your sports investing. &nbsp;</li></ul>&nbsp;&nbsp;

Articles